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Based on the Lee-Carter (LC) model, the benchmark in population forecasting, a variety of extensions and modifications are proposed in this paper. We investigate one of the extensions, the Hyndman-Ullah (HU) method and apply it to Asian demographic data sets: China, Japan and Taiwan. It combines...
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consider changes in the correlation of the age-specific fertility forecast error increments across time and age, and changes in … the correlation of the age-specific mortality forecast error increments across time, age and sex. Next we analyse the … impact of such changes on the forecasts of the Total Fertility Rate and of the Male and Female Life Expectancies respectively …
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