Using a controlled laboratory experiment, we test the effect of individual versus group when making judgmental forecasting adjustments. When individuals make decisions, especially that are exacting task like forecasting, they often feel anxious. Yet, when groups make decisions, they feel less...

It is divided into four substantive parts, as follows: Part 1, Stochastic Models and their Forecasting, is an introduction to linear stationary models with finite numbers of parameters, in particular ARMA (mixed autoregressive-moving average) processes, their probabilistic and forecasting...