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DIE METHODISCHE GRUNDLEGUNG -- AUSGANGSBASIS: DIE BESTEHENDE ZINSSTRUKTURKURVE -- DIE ÄLTEREN THEORIEN ZUR ZINSSTRUKTUR … -- DIE GRUNDMODELLE DER ZINSSTRUKTUR -- DIE DETERMINISTISCHEN FAKTOREN ZUR ZINSSTRUKTUR -- DIE SUBSTITUTIVEN … ARBITRAGEPROZESSE ZUR ZINSSTRUKTUR -- DIE STOCHASTISCHEN VOLATILITÄTEN DER ZINSSTRUKTUR -- ERKLÄRUNGS- & PROGNOSEMODELL ZUR ZINSSTRUKTUR. …
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We find that interest rate variance risk premium (IRVRP) - the difference between implied and realized variances of interest rates - is a strong predictor of U.S. Treasury bond returns of maturities ranging between one and ten years for return horizons up to six months. IRVRP is not subsumed by...
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Inflation expectation is acknowledged to be an important indicator for policy makers and financial investors. To capture a more accurate real-time estimate of inflation expectation on the basis of financial markets, we propose an arbitrage-free model across different countries in a...
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