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, higher accuracy of an AI's predictions reduces information asymmetries and fosters truthful communication. Detailed …
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set of professional forecasts of financial and macroeconomic variables. More communication even increases forecast errors …
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For two periods an expert E announces his forecast of the state to a decision-maker D who chooses action. They disagree about the precision of the probability assessments. At the end of period 1 the state is observed. In the last period E makes announcements more extreme than his forecasts....
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