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Do Perceptions of Economic Well-Being Predict the Onset of War and Peace?

Swee, Eik - 2019

perception of economic well-being, possibly influenced by such tactics, predicts war and peace onset. Using unique data … war onset during periods of rebel recruitment, and with earlier peace onset in general. These results hold regardless of … suggest that civilian perception of well-being ought to be considered seriously as a determinant of war and peace …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012861302

Do perceptions of economic well-being predict the onset of war and peace?

Swee, Eik Leong; Zhan, Haikun; Powdthavee, Nattavudh - In: Journal of behavioral and experimental economics 95 (2021), pp. 1-15

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013177009

Counterfactual prediction in complete information games : point prediction under partial identification

Jun, Sung Jae; Pinkse, Joris - In: Journal of econometrics 216 (2020) 2, pp. 394-429

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012439748

Reverse engineering financial markets with majority and minority games using genetic algorithms

Wiesinger, Judith; Sornette, Didier; Satinover, Jeffrey - 2010

Using virtual stock markets with artificial interacting software investors, aka agent-based models (ABMs), we present a method to reverse engineer real-world financial time series. We model financial markets as made of a large number of interacting boundedly rational agents. By optimizing the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003973139

The irrational economist : making decisions in a dangerous world

Michel-Kerjan, Erwann (ed.); Slovic, Paul (contributor) - 2010 - 1. ed.

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003890001

Diagnosis and prediction of market rebounds in financial markets

Yan, Wanfeng; Woodard, Ryan; Sornette, Didier - 2010

We introduce the concept of “negative bubbles” as the mirror image of standard financial bubbles, in which positive feedback mechanisms may lead to transient accelerating price falls. To model these negative bubbles, we adapt the Johansen-Ledoit-Sornette (JLS) model of rational expectation...