We evaluate different approaches for using monthly indicators to predict Chinese GDP for the current and the next quarter ('nowcasts' and 'forecasts' respectively). We use three types of mixed-frequency models, one based on an economic activity indicator (Liu et al., 2007), one based on...

Increases in real U.S. gross domestic product (GDP) averaged an annual rate of 3.2 percent between the fourth quarters of 1992 and 1995 (the solid line in panel A of figure 1), a relatively slow pace of growth considering that the economy was emerging from the 1990-91 recession. Output then...

Increases in real U.S. gross domestic product (GDP) averaged an annual rate of 3.2 percent between the fourth quarters of 1992 and 1995 (the solid line in panel A of figure 1), a relatively slow pace of growth considering that the economy was emerging from the 1990-91 recession. Output then...

In this paper, we perform a statistical analysis of the forecasting properties of Norges Bank's macroeconomic forecasts in the period 1998 - 2019. As a part of the analysis we assess Norges Bank's forecasts against similar forecasts by Statistics Norway and forecasts from simple models. The...