Do conflict processes exhibit repeating patterns over time? And if so, can we exploit the recurring shapes of the time series to forecast the evolution of conflict? Here we study escalation patterns using recent machine-learning methods derived from information geometry, clustering, and pattern...

The proposed foresight methods are based on predicting values of capitalization functions of the cluster companies and on calculating the best possible equivalent portfolio of the cluster companies using arbitrage techniques. In this respect, the capitalization functions are contingent upon two...