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Predictable Life-Cycle Shocks, Income Risk and Consumption Inequality
Primiceri, Giorgio E. - 2006
Was the increase in income inequality in the US due to permanent shocks or merely to an increase in the variance of transitory shocks? The implications for consumption and welfare depend crucially on the answer to this question. We use CEX repeated cross-section data on consumption and income to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012733915
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Does the Dream of Home Ownership Rest Upon Biased Beliefs? A Test Based on Predicted and Realized Life Satisfaction
Odermatt, Reto - 2020
The belief that home ownership makes people happy is probably one of the most widespread intuitive theories of happiness. However, whether it is accurate is an open question. Based on individual panel data, we explore whether home buyers systematically overestimate the life satisfaction...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012827351
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Does the dream of home ownership rest upon biased beliefs? : a test based on predicted and realized life satisfaction
Odermatt, Reto; Stutzer, Alois - 2020
The belief that home ownership makes people happy is probably one of the most widespread intuitive theories of happiness. However, whether it is accurate is an open question. Based on individual panel data, we explore whether home buyers systematically overestimate the life satisfaction...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012254078
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Forecasting Adoption of Ultra-Low-Emission Vehicles Using the GHK Simulator and Bayes Estimates of a Multinomial Probit Model
Daziano, Ricardo; Achtnicht, Martin - 2014
-assisted personal interviewing. We show that Bayesian estimation of a multinomial probit model with a full covariance matrix is feasible …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014172337
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Intrahousehold Resource Allocation and Individual Poverty : Assessing Collective Model Predictions Against Direct Evidence on Sharing
Bargain, Olivier; Lacroix, Guy; Tiberti, Luca - 2023
-capita expenditures and ignore the extent of within-household inequality. Recent advances in the estimation of collective models suggest …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014254963
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Demand estimation with machine learning and model combination
Bajari, Patrick L.; Nekipelov, Denis N.; Ryan, Stephen; … - 2015
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010496176
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Seasonal forecasting performance considering varying income elasticities in tourism demand
Smeral, Egon - In: Tourism economics : the business and finance of tourism … 25 (2019) 3, pp. 355-374
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012181996
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Tourism forecasting performance considering the instability of demand elasticities
Smeral, Egon - In: Journal of travel research : a quarterly publication of … 56 (2017) 7, pp. 913-926
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011731312
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The reliability of small area estimation prediction methods to track poverty
Christiaensen, Luc J.; Lanjouw, Peter; Luoto, Jill; … - 2010
tested directly. This study analyses the performance of poverty prediction models based on small area estimation (SAE … deterioration, as in Russia during the 1998 financial crisis. -- consumption prediction ; price deflator ; poverty dynamics ; small … area estimation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008663055
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Asymmetric Accuracy Metrics In Food Retail Sales Forecasting : An Empirical Comparison
Gogolev, Stepan - 2020
This study covers the application of asymmetric accuracy metrics in the daily retail sales prediction problem. The paper is focused on the empirical validation of an accuracy metric derived from the newsvendor model. We scrutinize the accuracy metric's advantages and describe its properties....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012823931