Over the last two decades, default rates and market risk have increased substantially. A consequence of the growing global interlacing is a strong dependence between both individual stock returns and credit events. Risk management (especially risk diversification) is much more challenging,...

There have been 128 defaults among U.S. CDS reference entities between 2001 and 2020. Within this sample, the five-year CDS spread is a significant predictor of corporate default in models with equity market covariates and firm attributes. This finding holds for forecast horizons up to 12...