The widespread use of pesticides results in their frequent detection in water bodies and other environmental media. Pesticide residues in water may pose environmental risks, and reliable predicted no effect concentrations (PNEC) must be obtained when the environmental risks of pesticides are...

Agricultural policy is designed to achieve certain goals. One goal that is of increasing importance in public discussion is 'public money for public goods' i.e. the compensation for the provision of public goods and the internalization of externalities. The European Union's Common Agricultural...

This paper examines the corporation tax forecasting techniques used by the Institute for Fiscal Studies. For current year forecasts a judgemental forecast is found to have performed better than relying solely on a simple model or information on the receipts available so far in the current...

Multi-step-ahead forecasts of forecast uncertainty in practice are often based on the horizon-specific sample means of recent squared forecast errors, where the number of available past forecast errors decreases one-to-one with the forecast horizon. In this paper, the efficiency gains from the...

We provide a novel methodology for estimating time-varying weights in linear prediction pools, which we call dynamic pools, and use it to investigate the relative forecasting performance of dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models, with and without financial frictions, for output...

We suggest an alternative use of disaggregate information to forecast the aggregate variable of interest, that is to include disaggregate information or disaggregate variables in the aggregate model as opposed to first forecasting the disaggregate variables separately and then aggregating those...