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Literature Review -- Return Predictability and the Real Economy -- Study Design and Data -- Empirical Part I - Testing for Predictability -- Forecasting Models -- Empirical Part II - Investment Strategies -- Conclusion
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"Forecasting--the art and science of predicting future outcomes--has become a crucial skill in business and economic analysis. This volume introduces the reader to the tools, methods, and techniques of forecasting, specifically as they apply to financial and investing decisions. With an emphasis...
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Chapter 1: Why do we forecast? -- Chapter 2: Regression Analysis and Forecasting Models -- Chapter 3: An Introduction to Time Series Modeling and Forecasting -- Chapter 4: Regression Analysis and Multicollinearity: Two Case Studies -- Chapter 5: Multiple Time Series Analysis and Causality...
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