indicators in predicting euro area HICP inflation out-of-sample over the period first quarter 1999 till third quarter 2006 …

theoretical predictions and simulations are corroborated when forecasting aggregate US inflation pre- and post 1984 using …

This paper assesses the performance of monetary indicators in predicting euro area HICP inflation out-of-sample over …. The results suggest that monetary indicators are still useful indicators for inflation in the euro area, but that a … inflation. …

last two years, can well be explained. Alongside the more traditional macroeconomic determinants like core inflation …

Survey-based expectations are mostly used by monetary authorities for inflation forecasts and evaluation of the … credibility of their inflation fighting policies. It is also an important link in the monetary policy transmission mechanism. This … study examined the predictive ability of business expectations survey (BES) inflation index on movements of inflation as …