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How do macroeconomic fundamentals affect sovereign bond yields? : new evidence from European forecasts

Jalles, João Tovar - In: CESifo economic studies : a joint initiative of the … 65 (2019) 1, pp. 44-67

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012117580

Inflation forecasts' performance in Latin America

Jalles, João Tovar - In: Review of development finance 7 (2017) 2, pp. 157-168

This paper provides a full characterization of inflation rate forecasts using the mean values from Consensus Economics for a sample of 14 Latin American countries between 1989 and 2014. It also assesses the performance of inflation rate forecasts around business cycles' turning points. Results...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011779567

Forecasting performance of private sector's unemployment forecasts in advanced economies

Jalles, João Tovar - In: International review of applied economics 31 (2017) 6, pp. 707-733

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011797430

On the rationality and efficiency of inflation forecasts : evidence from advanced and emerging market economies

Jalles, João Tovar - In: Research in international business and finance 40 (2017), pp. 175-189

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011912760

European commission's fiscal forecasts in CEE countries : a thorough assessment

Jalles, João Tovar - In: Journal of economic policy reform 23 (2020) 2, pp. 161-183

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012256340

Cross-country evidence on the quality of private sector fiscal forecasts

Jalles, João Tovar; Karibzhanov, Iskander; Loungani, … - In: Journal of macroeconomics 45 (2015), pp. 186-201

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011577918

A note on inflation dynamics, price volatility, and fiscal activism

Afonso, António; Jalles, João Tovar - In: Macroeconomic dynamics 24 (2020) 5, pp. 1299-1313

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012241325

How well do economists forecast recessions?

An, Zidong; Jalles, João Tovar; Loungani, Prakash - 2018

We describe the evolution of forecasts in the run-up to recessions. The GDP forecasts cover 63 countries for the years 1992 to 2014. The main finding is that, while forecasters are generally aware that recession years will be different from other years, they miss the magnitude of the recession...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012112326

Model-based vs. professional forecasts : implications for models with nominal rigidities

Azevedo, João Valle e; Jalles, João Tovar - In: Macroeconomic dynamics 21 (2017) 1, pp. 130-159

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011686119

Fiscal activism and price volatility : evidence from advanced and emerging economies

Afonso, António; Jalles, João Tovar - 2017

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011795082