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This paper investigates the market pricing of subprime mortgage risk on the basis of data for the ABX.HE family of … introduction into ABX index mechanics and a discussion of historical pricing patterns, we use regression analysis to establish the … for the inappropriateness of pricing models that do not sufficiently account for factors such as risk appetite and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605102
Suppose a fund manager uses predictors in changing port-folio allocations over time. How does predictability translate into portfolio decisions? To answer this question we derive a new model within the Bayesian framework, where managers are assumed to modulate the systematic risk in part by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604927
pricing. The approach suggests shifting the forecasting problem to the marginal convenience yield which can be derived from …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295802
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012004721
The illiquidity of long-maturity options has made it difficult to study the term structures of option spanning … portfolios. This paper proposes a new estimation and inference framework for these option-implied term structures that addresses …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010459730
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011518800
Using a structural model of default, we construct a measure of systemic default defined as the probability that many firms default at the same time. We account for correlations in defaults between firms through exposures to common shocks. The systemic default measure spikes during recession...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011810905
Aggregate implied volatility spread (IVS), defined as the cross-sectional average difference in the implied volatilities of at-the-money call and put equity options, is significantly and positively related to future stock market returns at daily, weekly, monthly, to semiannual horizons. This...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011897782
We derive a model-free option-based formula to estimate the contribution of market frictions to expected returns (CFER …) within an asset pricing setting. We estimate CFER for the U.S. optionable stocks. We document that CFER is sizable, it …-specification. Moreover, we show that various option-implied measures proxy CFER, thus providing a theoretical explanation for their ability …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011932555
significance from the no-arbitrage prices and bounds implied by the variance swap market. The paper examines these pricing errors …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011904683