We compare the stock return forecasting performance of alternative payout yields. The net payout yield produces more accurate forecasts relative to alternatives, including the traditional dividend yield. This remains true even after excluding several years during the Great Depression when...

The purpose of this paper is to make a quantitative and qualitative critical analyse regarding the three important aspects of stock market evolution. First, the forecasting problems are presented and analyse in order to establish the main problems and the potential solutions. Second, the...

Cover -- Title Page -- Copyright -- Contents -- About the Editors -- Introduction -- Chapter 1: Disappointment Aversion, Asset Pricing and Measuring Asymmetric Dependence -- 1.1 Introduction -- 1.2 From Skiadas Preferences to Asset Prices -- 1.3 Consistently Measuring Asymmetric Dependence --...

"Asymmetric Dependence (hereafter, AD) is usually thought of as a cross-sectional phenomenon. Andrew Patton describes AD as "stock returns appear to be more highly correlated during market downturns than during market upturns." (Patton, 2004) Thus at a point in time when the market return is...