We develop a simple and fast methodology for the estimation of future outstanding, discrete dividend payments, based on market prices of American at-the-money options. Our method relies on a linear combination of no-arbitrage bounds of the dividends. The corresponding optimal weight is...

The Lee-Carter model has become a benchmark in stochastic mortality modeling. However, its forecasting performance can be significantly improved upon by modern machine learning techniques. We propose a convolutional neural network architecture for mortality rate forecasting, empirically compare...

We introduce four variants of the common age effect model proposed by Kleinow, which describes the mortality rates of multiple populations. Our model extensions are based on the assumption of multiple common age effects, each of which is shared only by a subgroup of all considered populations....