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In recent years, there is an increasing trend in non-performing loan levels in Turkey which causes stress both on the real and financial sectors. Increasing non-performing loan volumes are an indication of problems in sectors or the general economy. It is also closely related with the stability...
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Following the 2007/09 and subsequent world food price shocks, a growing number of simulation studies predicted their implications on food security. Studies that only require pre-price-hike data and the specification of relevant price or income changes have been advocated as a potential tool to...
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constructed metric in a simple VAR framework I show that real effects are there, that shock to the volatile uncertainty causes … significant downturn/overshoot pattern, and that shock to the persistent component causes severe and prolonged damage …
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We measure the impact of frequent exogeneous shocks on small ECCU economies, including changes to global economic activity, tourism flows, oil prices, passport sales, FDI, and natural disasters. Using Canonical-Correlation Analysis (CCA) and dynamic panel regression analysis we find significant...
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We provide novel evidence that technological news and uncertainty shocks, identified one at a time using VAR models as in the literature, are correlated; that is, they are not truly structural. We then proceed by proposing an identification scheme to disentangle the effects of news and financial...
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