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In modern conditions of instability, systematic crises and global transformations the problem of developing methods and technologies for analysis, modeling, management, forecasting and decision making for stable development of viable socioeconomic systems has become the most important. These...
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Because of the intangible and highly uncertain nature of innovation, investors may have difficulty processing … information associated with a firm's innovation search strategy. Due to cognitive and strategic biases, investors are likely to …-term earnings expectations. The stock market also seems unable to accurately incorporate information about a firm's innovation …
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The persistent downturn in productivity growth during the past two decades has cast doubts on global economic prospects. Frequently cited causes include a dearth of productivity-enhancing ideas, an aging population, and a shift to service-based economies. While we acknowledge the role each of...
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We propose a simple model where the innovation rate of a technological domain depends on the innovation rate of the … predictability of innovation rates can be boosted substantially when network effects are taken into account. In the case where a … technology's neighbourhood further innovation rates are known, the average predictability gain is 28% compared to simpler time …
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. We propose a model, Step And Wait (SAW), for predicting the path of technological innovation and compare its performance …
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