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Predicting the term structure of interest rates : incorporating parameter uncertainty, model uncertainty and macroeconomic information
Pooter, Michiel de; Ravazzolo, Francesco; Dijk, Dick van - 2007 - This version: March 3, 2007
We forecast the term structure of U.S. Treasury zero-coupon bond yields by analyzing a range of models that have been used in the literature. We assess the relevance of parameter uncertainty by examining the added value of using Bayesian inference compared to frequentist estimation techniques,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011372519
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Inflation co-movement across countries in multi-maturity term structure : an arbitrage-free approach
Chen, Shi; Härdle, Wolfgang; Wang, Weining - 2015
Inflation expectation is acknowledged to be an important indicator for policy makers and financial investors. To capture a more accurate real-time estimate of inflation expectation on the basis of financial markets, we propose an arbitrage-free model across different countries in a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011389060
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The arbitrage-free generalized Nelson-Siegel term structure model : does a good in-sample fit imply better out-of-sample forecasts?
Ullah, Wali - In: Empirical economics : a journal of the Institute for … 59 (2020) 3, pp. 1243-1284
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012285551
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Inflation co-movement across countries in multi-maturity term structure: an arbitrage-free approach
Chen, Shi - In: Econometric measures of financial risk in high dimensions, (pp. 63-89). 2017
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011913346
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Die Zinsstrukturtheorie : Eine Analyse der Faktoren, Arbitrage und Volatilität für das Euro-Währungsgebiet
Stoklossa, Harald - 2010
DIE METHODISCHE GRUNDLEGUNG -- AUSGANGSBASIS: DIE BESTEHENDE ZINSSTRUKTURKURVE -- DIE ÄLTEREN THEORIEN ZUR ZINSSTRUKTUR … -- DIE GRUNDMODELLE DER ZINSSTRUKTUR -- DIE DETERMINISTISCHEN FAKTOREN ZUR ZINSSTRUKTUR -- DIE SUBSTITUTIVEN … ARBITRAGEPROZESSE ZUR ZINSSTRUKTUR -- DIE STOCHASTISCHEN VOLATILITÄTEN DER ZINSSTRUKTUR -- ERKLÄRUNGS- & PROGNOSEMODELL ZUR ZINSSTRUKTUR. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014425190
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Die Zinsstrukturtheorie : eine Analyse der Faktoren, Arbitrage und Volatilität für das Euro-Währungsgebiet
Stoklossa, Harald - 2010 - 1. Aufl.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003952238
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No arbitrage priors, drifting volatilites, and the term structure of interest rates
Carriero, Andrea; Clark, Todd E.; Marcellino, Massimiliano - 2014
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010363319
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The Role of No-Arbitrage on Forecasting : Lessons from a Parametric Term Structure Model
Almeida, Caio - 2018
Parametric term structure models have been successfully applied to numerous problems in fixed income markets, including pricing, hedging, managing risk, as well as to the study of monetary policy implications. In turn, dynamic term structure models, equipped with stronger economic structure,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012924536
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Forecasting the yield curve in a data-rich environment using the factor-augmented Nelson-Siegel model
Exterkate, Peter; Dijk, Dick van; Heij, Christiaan; … - 2010
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003987315
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Forecasting the term structure of crude oil futures prices with neural networks
Baruník, Jozef; Malinská, Barbora - 2015
The paper contributes to the rare literature modeling term structure of crude oil markets. We explain term structure of crude oil prices using dynamic Nelson-Siegel model, and propose to forecast them with the generalized regression framework based on neural networks. The newly proposed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011378719