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This paper studies how the monetary policy regime affects the relative importance of nominal exchange rates and inflation rates in shaping the response of real exchange rates to shocks. We document two facts about countries with floating exchange rates where monetary policy controls inflation...
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The Economist magazine has been publishing the Big Mac Index using it as a rule of thumb to determine the over- or under-valuation of international currencies based on the theory of Purchasing Power Parity since 1986. According to the theory, using the Big Mac as a tradable single-good basket,...
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This paper uses a measure of the relative price of out-of-the-money (OTM) European put and call currency options to … day-to-day volatility of currency prices that should be driven by slow-moving macro fundamentals …
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An extensive literature that studied the performance of empirical exchange rate models following Meese and Rogoff's (1983a) seminal paper has not convincingly found evidence of out-of-sample exchange rate predictability. This paper extends the conventional set of models of exchange rate...
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