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, introducing slack into models estimated using headline PCE inflation data or conventional core inflation data causes forecast …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011567926
This paper presents a brief analysis of representative measures of inflation expectations from Central Bank of Brazil …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011864728
This paper develops an approach for forecasting in Thailand core inflation. The key innovation is to anchor the projections derived from the short-term time-series properties of core inflation to its longer-run evolution. This involves combining a short-term model, which attempts to distill the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014401301
developed (U.S.) and emerging-market economy (Brazil). Our focus is on the marginal contribution of "Big Data" in the form of ….S. than Brazil …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013222547
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000854358
We examine the quantitative predictions of heterogeneous firm models à la Melitz (2003) in the context of the Canada …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009773860
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009721884
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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011627038
This note documents a curious finding about the substantial forecast ability of a simple aggregator of three commodity … avoid obfuscation of the sources of forecast ability, the model is intentionally kept simple, although extensions for … improving and increasing the robustness of the forecast procedure are also discussed. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011428084