Systemic Risk and Complex Networks in Modern Financial Systems -- Systemic Risk and Network Science: A Bibliometric and Systematic Review -- A Holistic Journey into Systemic Risk: Theoretical Background, Transmission Channels and Policy Implication -- Macro-prudential Policies to Mitigate...

This paper analyzes recession prediction markets from Intrade and PredictIt where individuals bet on the binary outcome of a recession occurring by a certain date. Using a time series of such historical recession prediction market data to measure macroeconomic risk in a variety of asset classes,...