Most common work in the literature is based on aggregated models (see e.g., Campbell and Lewis-Beck, 2008) with some important exceptions that use data at the state level, e.g., Rosenstone (1983), Holbrook (1991) and Campbell (1992). These aggregated models, are based on either survey results or...

In this paper, we are trying first to exhibit why – paradoxically – the local economic performance is not able to explain the regional vote in France. In a second time, we build a Political Economy model (pooled time series), testing voting for regional incumbents and Front National as well....