Bizzotto, Jacopo; Cipullo, Davide; Reslow, André - 2024 - This version: July 1, 2024
outcomes. We model a referendum in which a voter chooses between two policies. The voter relies on a forecaster to learn about … referendum and (ii) associated with greater macroeconomic uncertainty. Second, as the influence of the forecast on the voter … after the referendum, at least for some time. We show that these predictions are empirically supported in the context of the …
