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We compute a stochastic household forecast for the Netherlands by the random share method. Time series of shares of … persons in nine household positions, broken down by sex and five-year age group for the years 1996-2010 are modelled by means … of time indices for each household position for men and women. We model these time indices as a Random Walk with Drift …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010354141
-capita expenditures and ignore the extent of within-household inequality. Recent advances in the estimation of collective models suggest … stability upon exclusive goods across individuals or household types) and the observation of exclusive goods. So far, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014254963
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the current global pandemic crisis, the future of household finances is uncertain. The change of the macroeconomic and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012805903
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The paper derives analytical transitions probabilities following an exogenous shock to the deterministic component in the conditional logit model. The solution draws on the postestimation distribution of the model's stochastic component, identified on the basis of a direct utility maximization...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013319505
This paper presents a stochastic integrated model to forecast the German population and labour supply until 2060. Within a cohort-component approach, the population forecast applies principal components to birth, mortality, emigration and immigration rates. The labour force participation rates...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011586534
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010369930
The paper derives analytical transitions probabilities following an exogenous shock to the deterministic component in the conditional logit model. The solution draws on the postestimation distribution of the models stochastic component, identified on the basis of a direct utility maximization...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010261783