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The sensitivity of the Scaled Model of Error with respect to the choice of the correlation parameters : a simulation study
Graziani, Rebecca; Keilman, Nico - 2010 - Publisert 23. des. 2010 12:08 - Sist endret 29. des. 2010 15:48
consider changes in the correlation of the age-specific fertility forecast error increments across time and age, and changes in … the correlation of the age-specific mortality forecast error increments across time, age and sex. Next we analyse the … impact of such changes on the forecasts of the Total Fertility Rate and of the Male and Female Life Expectancies respectively …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008772871
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Comment on "Long-term forecast of the demographic transition in Japan and Asia"
Ogawa, Naohiro - In: Asian economic policy review : AEPR 4 (2009) 2, pp. 39-42
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003849805
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Comment on "Long-term forecast of the demographic transition in Japan and Asia"
Noland, Marcus - In: Asian economic policy review : AEPR 4 (2009) 2, pp. 43-44
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003849806
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Forecast of population size and demographic burden in Russia up to 2100
Yumaguzin, V. V.; Vinnik, M. V. - In: Studies on Russian economic development 33 (2022) 4, pp. 422-431
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013460002
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A stochastic sub-national population projection methodology with an application to the Waikato region of New Zealand
Cameron, Michael P.; Poot, Jacques - 2010
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003950903
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Stochastic population forecasts using functional data models for mortality, fertility and migration
Hyndman, Rob J.; Booth, Heather - In: International journal of forecasting 24 (2008) 3, pp. 323-342
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003764036
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Stochastic population analysis : a functional data approach
Fang, Lei; Härdle, Wolfgang - 2015
Based on the Lee-Carter (LC) model, the benchmark in population forecasting, a variety of extensions and modifications are proposed in this paper. We investigate one of the extensions, the Hyndman-Ullah (HU) method and apply it to Asian demographic data sets: China, Japan and Taiwan. It combines...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010477583
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Stochastic population forecasts using functional data models for mortality, fertility and migration
Hyndman, Rob J.; Booth, Heather - 2006
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003361002
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Annuity-based assessment of uncertainty in mortality
Alho, Juha M. - In: Revue économique : revue bimestrielle 59 (2008) 5, pp. 927-940
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003755076
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Stochastic Period and Cohort Effect State-Space Mortality Models Incorporating Demographic Factors via Probabilistic Robust Principle Components
Toczydlowska, Dorota - 2017
In this study we develop a multi-factor extension of the family of Lee-Carter stochastic mortality models. We build …) introduce a class of multi-factor stochastic mortality models incorporating time, period, cohort and demographic features, which … Mortality Database demographic data from European countries and we use the extracted features to better explain the term …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012955343