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The sum of squared intraday returns provides an unbiased and almost error-free measure of ex-post volatility. In this … paper we develop a nonlinear Autoregressive Fractionally Integrated Moving Average (ARFIMA) model for realized volatility …, which accommodates level shifts, day-of-the-week effects, leverage effects and volatility level effects. Applying the model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011335205
In this paper, we estimate, model and forecast Realized Range Volatility, a new realized measure and estimator of the …-known stylized effects present in financial data. We consider an HAR model with asymmetric effects with respect to the volatility and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013130487
volatility of the Standard and Poors 500 index among recent extensions of the heterogeneous autoregressive model. While we find …, improvements achieved by the inclusion of implied volatility turn out to be insignificant. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011430242
In this study, we model realized volatility constructed from intraday high-frequency data. We explore the possibility … of confusing long memory and structural breaks in the realized volatility of the following spot exchange rates: EUR …' realized volatility. From the Bai – Perron test, we found structural breakpoints that match significant events in financial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012900291
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010348459
volatility (RV) of ten global stock market indices in the period from January 2000 to December 2021. We train models using a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014076641
The asymmetric moving average model (asMA) is extended to allow forasymmetric quadratic conditional heteroskedasticity (asQGARCH). Theasymmetric parametrization of the conditional variance encompassesthe quadratic GARCH model of Sentana (1995). We introduce a framework fortesting asymmetries in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011303289
improved ex-post volatility measurements but has also inspired research into their potential value as an informa-tion source … for longer horizon volatility forecasts. In this paper we explore the forecasting value of these high fre-quency series in … conjunction with a variety of volatility models for returns on the Standard & Poor's 100 stock index. We consider two so …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011326944
Many recent modelling advances in finance topics ranging from the pricing of volatility-based derivative products to … number of recent papers have addressed volatility predictability, some from the perspective of the usefulness of jumps in … forecasting volatility. Key papers in this area include Andersen, Bollerslev, Diebold and Labys (2003), Corsi (2004), Andersen …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009771770
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010191413