This paper augments prior research on how tax-related information disclosures affect a company's market value, by investigating (1) whether voluntary management forecasts of the effective tax rate (ETR guidance) are considered by the addressees of such information and (2) whether tax-related...

Robust forecasting of mining sector revenues is key to effective budgeting (and broader fiscal management) in many resource-rich countries. However, this is challenging in practice, given commodity market volatility, the extended lags (and often opaque processes) between resource discoveries and...

We contribute to the research on the information content of earnings as it applies to the forecasting of economic activity across reporting models. We examine whether publicly available financial statement information is incrementally useful in forecasting confidentially reported taxable income....

Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) has become an established tool in comparative analyses of efficiency strategies in both the public and the private sector. The aim of this paper is to present and apply a newly developed, adjusted DEA model – emerging from a blend of a Distance Friction...

State governments across the United States face the prospect of sharply declining tax revenues due to the COVID-19 pandemic. They need reliable and up-to-date revenue forecasts to make financially sound policy decisions during this public health and economic crisis. This paper proposes an...

This paper examines the corporation tax forecasting techniques used by the Institute for Fiscal Studies. For current year forecasts a judgemental forecast is found to have performed better than relying solely on a simple model or information on the receipts available so far in the current...

Analysts regularly issue ETR forecasts that meaningfully deviate from managers’ voluntary annual effective tax rate (ETR) forecasts. I examine whether these deviations impact analyst forecast accuracy. Comparing analyst forecasts that deviate to analyst forecasts that reiterate managers’ ETR...

We examine the effect of the common ownership relation between brokerage houses and the firms covered by their analysts (referred to as co-owned brokerage houses, co-owned firms, and connected analysts, respectively) on analyst forecast performance. Common ownership can help the connected...

The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) issues comment letters suggesting revisions to firms' tax disclosures with the goal of improving the informativeness of these disclosures. I examine if SEC-prompted revisions to firms' tax disclosures are associated with changes in the informativeness...