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Modeling manager confidence in forecasted excess returns under active portfolio management
Birge, John R.; Chávez-Bedoya, Luis - In: The journal of asset management 15 (2014) 6, pp. 353-365
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010476259
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Forecasting Value at Risk and expected shortfall of foreign exchange rate volatility of major African currencies via GARCH and dynamic conditional correlation analysis
Afuecheta, Emmanuel; Okorie, Idika E.; Nadarajah, Saralees - In: Computational economics 63 (2024) 1, pp. 271-304
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014472109
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Prediction, risk assessment and comparison of selected emerging markets' stock indices during covid-19 pandemic using the coherent measure : comparing selected emerging markets' st...
Das, Prabir Kumar; Das, Anarghya - In: The journal of prediction markets 16 (2022) 3, pp. 81-97
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014290506
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Incorporating prediction and estimation risk in point-in-time credit portfolio models
Hamerle, Alfred; Knapp, Michael; Liebig, Thilo; … - 2005
In this paper we focus on the analysis of the effect of prediction and estimation risk on the loss distribution, risk measures and economic capital. When variables for the determination of probability of default and loss distribution have to be predicted because they are not available at the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295906
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Model Averaging in Risk Management with an Application to Futures Markets
Pesaran, M. Hashem (contributor);  … - 2008
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003641741
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Evaluating an EGARCH model with fat tails, skewness and leverage in forecasting VaR
Benito Muela, Sonia - In: Journal of contemporary management : JMC 4 (2015) 3, pp. 67-80
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011392904
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Bedingte Schätzung von Value at Risk und Expected Shortfall
Schaudeck, Alexander - 2014
Der Value at Risk ist die am stärksten verbreitete Kennzahl zur Bestimmung des Risikos bei Finanzinstituten. Für diese gibt es bezüglich Theorie, Simulation und empirischer Anwendung bereits ein breites Spektrum an Literatur. Im Rahmen dieser Arbeit werden verschiedene Methoden zur Schätzung...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010532752
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Forecasting VaR models under different volatility processes and distributions of return innovations
Dendramis, Yiannis; Spungin, Giles E.; Tzavalis, Elias - In: Journal of forecasting 33 (2014) 7, pp. 515-531
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011282095
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Bayesian forecasting of value at risk and expected shortfall using adaptive importance sampling
Hoogerheide, Lennart; Dijk, Herman K. van - 2008
An efficient and accurate approach is proposed for forecasting Value at Risk [VaR] and Expected Shortfall [ES] measures in a Bayesian framework. This consists of a new adaptive importance sampling method for Quantile Estimation via Rapid Mixture of t approximations [QERMit]. As a first step the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011377096
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Value at risk estimation by threshold stochastic volatility model
Huang, Alex - In: Applied economics 47 (2015) 43/45, pp. 4884-4900
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011380922