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. This study uses the Diebold and Yilmaz index model to analyze and measure volatility spillovers and interconnectedness … among APEC stock markets. The objective is to identify major transmitters of volatility spillovers and assess the magnitude … of different crisis cycles. The results show that the US is the major contributor (69.54%) to volatility spillovers in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014502815
market uncertainty and volatility of the investment instruments. Thus, the prediction of the uncertainty and volatilities of … to identify the best fit model that can predict the volatility of return of Bitcoin, which is in high demand as an … the residuals of the average equation model selected have ARCH effect. Volatility of Bitcoin return series after detection …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014382180
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-day and intra-day volatility models by estimating the AR(1)-GARCH(1,1)-skT and the AR(1)-HAR-RV-skT frameworks, respectively … intra-day volatility model is not as appropriate as it was expected to be for each of the different asset classes; stock … performance of the inter-day and intra-day volatility models across various markets. The inter-day specification predicts and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012910113
Two volatility forecasting evaluation measures are considered; the squared one-day ahead forecast error and its … standardized version. The mean squared forecast error is the widely accepted evaluation function for the realized volatility … standardized with its volatility. The statistical properties of the forecast errors point the standardized version as a more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012910114
forecasting horizons. Therefore, a long memory volatility model compared to a short memory GARCH model does not appear to improve …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012910119
ARFIMAX models are applied in estimating the intra-day realized volatility of the CAC40 and DAX30 indices. Volatility … clustering and asymmetry characterize the logarithmic realized volatility of both indices. ARFIMAX model with time … superior next trading day's realized volatility forecasts …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012910127
Predicting the one-step-ahead volatility is of great importance in measuring and managing investment risk more … accurately. Taking into consideration the main characteristics of the conditional volatility of asset returns, I estimate an … leptokurtic conditional distribution of innovations, produces the most accurate one-day-ahead volatility forecasts. The study …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012910129