Using trader-resolved data, we document lead-lag relationships between groups of investors in the foreign exchange market. Because these relationships are systematic and persistent, order flow is predictable from trader-resolved order flow. We thus propose a generic method to exploit trader...

We propose several nonparametric predictors of the mid-price in a limit order book, based on different features constructed from the order book data observed contemporaneously and in the recent past. We evaluate our predictors in the context of an order execution task by constructing order...

In this thesis, a new methodology using convex risk measures is developed to incorporate parameter risk into prices of financial derivatives, provided that a distribution on the parameter space is given. A technique to induce a parameter distribution in case of calibration to market prices is...