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Political science tools for assessing feasibility and sustainability of reforms
Wimmer, Andreas; De Soysa, Indra; Wagner, Christian - 2003
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001744010
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Political uncertainty and analysts' forecasts : international evidence
Boubakri, Narjess; Bouslimi, Lobna; Zhong, Rui - In: Journal of financial stability 59 (2022), pp. 1-15
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013284618
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Political science tools for assessing feasibility and sustainability of reforms
Wimmer, Andreas; De Soysa, Indra; Wagner, Christian - 2003
We were asked by the Independent Evaluation Office to outline political science methods for assessing the chances of reform implementation in an ex-ante fashion. We agreed to illustrate how these tools 'work' by using Pakistan as a case study. The recent literature on IMF-sponsored reforms...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011578214
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A Global Model for Forecasting Political Instability
Goldstone, Jack A.; Bates, Robert; Epstein, David; … - 2010
Examining onsets of political instability in countries worldwide from 1955 to 2003, we develop a model that distinguishes countries that experienced instability from those that remained stable with a two-year lead time and over 80% accuracy. Intriguingly, the model uses few variables and a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014199350
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Election uncertainty, economic policy uncertainty and financial market uncertainty : a prediction market analysis
Goodell, John W.; McGee, Richard J.; McGroarty, Frank - In: Journal of banking & finance 110 (2020), pp. 1-15
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012225014
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From early warning systems to asset managers' behavior : evidence for mature and emerging markets
Beckmann, Daniela - 2008
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012874866
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The Palgrave Handbook of Government Budget Forecasting
Williams, Daniel (ed.); Calabrese, Thad (ed.) - 2019 - 1st ed. 2019
1. Introduction- Daniel W. Williams and Thad Calabrese -- Part I: International and National -- 2. Macroeconomic Theory …- Emily Franklin, Carolyn Bourdeaux, and Alex Hathaway -- 9. Modeling and Forecasting State Tax Revenue since the Great … Tax- Geoffrey Propheter -- 12. Small Local Government Revenue Forecasting- Vincent Reitano -- 13. Current Midyear …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012398937
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The Palgrave handbook of government budget forecasting
Williams, Daniel W. (ed.); Calabrese, Thad (ed.) - 2019
This Handbook is a comprehensive anthology of up-to-date chapters contributed by current researchers in budget forecasting. Editors Daniel Williams and Thad Calabrese had previously found substantial deficiencies in public budgeting forecast literature with current research failing to address...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012035386
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Political forecasting and the Third World economies : a critical assessment
Bauzon, Kenneth E. - In: Kasarinlan : a Philippine journal of Third World studies 15 (2000) 1, pp. 23-64
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001526425
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Political uncertainty and analysts' forecasts : evidence from China
Yu, Sijia; Zhang, Junrui; Qiu, Meng - In: Finance research letters 36 (2020), pp. 1-6
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012483403