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general shape of the implied volatility function of the corresponding currency pair. Overall, we conclude that there is a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010410031
We estimate a multivariate unobserved components-stochastic volatility model to explain the dynamics of a panel of six …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011326550
We estimate a multivariate unobserved components stochastic volatility model to explain the dynamics of a panel of six …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012118184
for forecasting the volatility of both the TASI and the TIPISI in the context of petrochemical industries, as this model … outperforms the other models in model estimation and daily out-of-sample volatility forecasting of the two indices. This study is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011960525
This paper investigates how to improve prediction accuracy of stock realized volatility using a large set of predictors … realized volatility out-of-sample prediction performance relative to several extant forecast combinations. This result is … existence of a strongly powerful volatility predictor affects this change …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013296031
spillovers in the FX market, which are sparse and time-varying. Second, it incorporates cross-sectional variations in currencies …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012850361
In this study, we model realized volatility constructed from intraday high-frequency data. We explore the possibility … of confusing long memory and structural breaks in the realized volatility of the following spot exchange rates: EUR …' realized volatility. From the Bai – Perron test, we found structural breakpoints that match significant events in financial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012900291
This paper examines short-horizon exchange rate predictability and investigates whether stock returns contain information for forecasting daily exchange rate movements. Inspired by the uncovered equity parity condition, we show that stock return differentials have in-sample and out-of-sample...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012900301
The accurate forecast of the foreign currencies exchange rates at the ultra high frequency electronic trading in the foreign currencies exchange markets is a main topic of our research: 1) the present state of the foreign currencies exchange markets in Asia, Europe and North America; 2) the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013013057
This article identifies the best models for forecasting the volatility of daily exchange returns of developing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013058579