Showing 1 - 10 of 1,938
In this paper we study international linkages when forecasting unemployment rates in a sample of 24 OECD economies. We propose a Global Unemployment Factor (GUF) and test its predictive ability considering in-sample and out-of-sample exercises. Our main results indicate that the predictive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012845239
This article proposes a multivariate model of inflation with conditionally heteroskedastic common and country …-2009. It is found that various model specifications considered fit well the first and second order dynamics of inflation in the … G7. The estimated volatility of the common inflation component captures the international effects of the 'Great …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010272102
This article proposes a multivariate model of inflation with conditionally heteroskedastic common and country …-2009. It is found that various model specifications considered fit well the first and second order dynamics of inflation in the … G7. The estimated volatility of the common inflation component captures the international effects of the ‘Great …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008738372
We evaluate the performance of inflation forecasts based on the open-economy Phillips curve by exploiting the spatial … pattern of international propagation of inflation. We model these spatial linkages using global inflation and either domestic … spatial interactions yields significantly more accurate forecasts of local inflation in 14 advanced countries (including the U …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011389395
We evaluate the performance of inflation forecasts based on the open-economy Phillips curve by exploiting the spatial … pattern of international propagation of inflation. We model these spatial linkages using global inflation and either domestic … spatial interactions yields significantly more accurate forecasts of local inflation in 14 advanced countries (including the U …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013014933
Kabukçuoğlu and Martínez-García (Forthcoming) model local inflation dynamics using global inflation and domestic slack … Martínez-García (Forthcoming) evaluate the pseudo out-of-sample performance of inflation forecasts based on the theoretically …-consistent single-equation forecasting specification implied by theory, exploiting the international linkages of inflation. In this …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012943015
We evaluate the performance of inflation forecasts based on the open-economy Phillips curve by exploiting the spatial … pattern of international propagation of inflation. We model these spatial linkages using global inflation and either domestic … incorporating spatial interactions yields significantly more accurate forecasts of local inflation in 14 advanced countries …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012970177
This paper provides both theoretical insight as well as empirical evidence in support of the view that inflation is … largely a global phenomenon. First, we show that inflation across countries incorporates a significant common factor captured … by global inflation. Second, we show that in theory a role for global inflation in local inflation dynamics emerges over …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012971228
We use a broad-range set of inflation models and pseudo out-of-sample forecasts to assess their predictive ability …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012852068
This paper provides both theoretical insight as well as empirical evidence in support of the view that inflation is … largely a global phenomenon. First, we show that inflation across countries incorporates a significant common factor captured … by global inflation. Second, we show that in theory a role for global inflation in local inflation dynamics emerges over …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013024945