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During the recent financial crisis, there was a dramatic spike, across all industries, in the volatility of individual … spikes in firm-specific price volatility, a pattern that poses a puzzle in terms of existing financial theory. The most … difficult economic times. This discovery of a long history of crisis-induced spikes in firm-specific price volatility has …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010259665
creation, as well as in explaining fluctuations in stock-market and Treasury bond market volatility. In general, we find that …'s stock market volatility performing the best on several (but not all) dimensions. Their learning-based model's volatility … volatile than the David and Veronesi (2013) stock market volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013294567
We examine the pricing of tail risk in international stock markets. We find that the tail risk of different countries is highly integrated. Introducing a new World Fear index, we find that local and global aggregate market returns are mainly driven by global tail risk rather than local tail...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011751251
This article introduces a very flexible framework for causal and predictive market views and stress-testing. The framework elegantly combines Bayesian networks (BNs) and Entropy Pooling (EP). In the new framework, BNs are used to generate a finite set of joint causal views / stress-tests for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014350645
We study the predictability of equity risk premiums for UK equity indexes, in particular whether stylized facts found for the US stock market also apply to the UK market. We compare the performance of economic and technical indicators with a particular focus on the time-varying nature of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013291975
We show that in a general equilibrium model with heterogeneity in risk aversion or belief, shifting wealth from an agent who holds comparatively fewer stocks to one who holds more reduces the equity premium. Since empirically the rich hold more stocks than do the poor, inequality should predict...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012856748
This study utilized both single-regime GARCH and double-regime GARCH models to investigate oil price volatility … volatility on these factors was examined. The empirical results confirmed the presence of the leverage effect and identified … multiple volatility switches associated with remarkable events like the GFC, the European debt crisis, the COVID-19 pandemic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014636061
tractable. The approach allows for simultaneous calibration to market volatility surfaces of currency triangles, and also gives …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012963076
The use of fundamentalist traders in the stock market models is problematic since fundamental values in the real world are unknown. Yet, in the literature to date, fundamentalists are often required to replicate key stylized facts. The authors present an agent-based model of the stock market in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011723700
constitutes a contagion channel that yields predictable returns and downgrades. Shocks to the degree of news-implied firm …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012162712