Bertsche, Dominik; Brüggemann, Ralf; Kascha, Christian - 2019 - First draft: July 17, 2017, this version: December 10, 2018
We represent the dynamic relation among variables in vector autoregressive (VAR) models as directed graphs. Based on … need to be included in a VAR if interest is in forecasting or impulse response analysis of a given set of variables. We …-step causal for the variables of interest by relating the paths in the graph to the coefficients of the "direct" VAR …