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Nigeria. Forecasts were produced using ARIMA, ARIMA with structural variables, VAR and VEC models. The performance of the …
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This paper uses a panel VAR (PVAR) approach to estimating, analysing and forecasting price dynamics in four different …
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We represent the dynamic relation among variables in vector autoregressive (VAR) models as directed graphs. Based on … need to be included in a VAR if interest is in forecasting or impulse response analysis of a given set of variables. We …-step causal for the variables of interest by relating the paths in the graph to the coefficients of the "direct" VAR …
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