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The paper presents forecasts of headline and core inflation in Estonia with factor models in a recursive pseudo out-of-sample framework. The factors are constructed with a principal component analysis and are then incorporated into vector autoregressive (VAR) forecasting models. The analyses...
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This chapter provides an overview of and user's guide to dynamic factor models (DFMs), their estimation, and their uses … application to oil shocks how the same identification strategies can be applied to each type of model. …
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