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Empirical Finance is in crisis: Our most important "discovery" tool is historical simulation, and yet, most backtests published in leading Financial journals are flawed.The problem is well-known to professional organizations of Statisticians and Mathematicians, who have publicly criticized the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013022708
This paper examines the volatility and covariance dynamics of cash and futures contracts that underlie the Optimal Hedge Ratio (OHR) across different hedging time horizons. We examine whether hedge ratios calculated over a short term hedging horizon can be scaled and successfully applied to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013070499
Value-at-risk (VaR) is a useful risk measure broadly used by financial institutions all over the world. VaR has been extensively used to measure systematic risk exposure in developed markets like of the US, Europe and Asia. This paper analyzes the accuracy of VaR measure for Pakistan's emerging...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011524092
Quantitative investment strategies are often selected from a broad class of candidate models estimated and tested on historical data. Standard statistical technique to prevent model overfitting such as out-sample back-testing turns out to be unreliable in the situation when selection is based on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011722180
Value and momentum returns and combinations of them are explained by their loadings on global macroeconomic risk factors across both countries and asset classes. These loadings describe why value and momentum have positive return premia while at the same time being negatively correlated. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012855570
A plethora of academic papers on generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (GARCH) models for bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies have been published in academic journals. Yet few, if indeed any, of these are employed by practitioners. Previous academic studies produce results...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013292091
Classic artificial intelligence (Q-learning) algorithms have been capable of consistently learning supra-competitive pricing strategies in infinitely repeated Nash-Bertrand pricing games without human communication. Such algorithms have been able to converge due to the temporal correlation of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014344267
This paper provides a new set of tests on the relationship between product market competition, information processing cost, and production of information by managers. The recent regulation regarding the mandatory adoption of XBRL (eXtensible Business Reporting Language) is a natural experiment...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012851407
This study attempts to predict high growth firm (HGF) status with financial ratios. Measures related to the firm's effectiveness in using assets to generate profits, EBITDA margin, debt ratio, equity-to-debt ratio and return on assets are associated with HGF status. While the financial ratios...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013252635
Blockchain, big data, and internet of things are just a few of the over 200 technologies introduced in the last 15 years. Technology adoption/diffusion has significant implications for adopting firms, suppliers of these technologies, and investors. Approaching technology adoption from a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014131463