We show that expected returns on US stocks and all major global stock market indices have a particular form of non-linear dependence on previous returns. The expected sign of returns tends to reverse after large price movements and trends tend to continue after small movements. The observed...

This study aims to shed light on the debate concerning the choice between discrete-time and continuous-time hazard models in making bankruptcy or any binary prediction using interval censored data. Building on the theoretical suggestions from various disciplines, we empirically compare widely...

A huge diversity exists within the broad category of SMEs. They differ widely in their capital structure, firm size, access to external finance, management style, numbers of employees etc. We contribute to the literature by acknowledging this diversity while modeling credit risk for them, using...