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The identification of the business cycle turn points is a challenging task. In this context, the evolution of new data typologies as internet searches data strongly impacted the construction of approaches practical to forecast macroeconomic variables. This work emphasizes the significance of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014259895
the US unemployment rate. We perform a deep out-of-sample forecasting comparison analyzing many models that adopt both our … the GI outperform the traditional ones in predicting the monthly unemployment rate, even in most state-level forecasts and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014195886
The factors leading individuals to immigrate to developed nations are widely studied, but comparatively less is known about those who emigrate from them. In this paper, we use data from a nationally representative cohort of Australian adults to develop longitudinal measures of emigration and to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011450204
The factors leading individuals to immigrate to developed contexts are widely studied, but comparatively less is known about those who emigrate from them. In this paper, we use data from a nationally representative cohort of Australian adults to develop longitudinal measures of emigration and to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013000087
learning techniques. This method improves forecasts of macroeconomic variables including GDP, inflation, and unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012832989
Regional Migration; Human Capital; Sectoral Structure; Germany; Poland; Labour Mobility; Forecast …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003905813
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010376591
behind the observed aggregated inter-regional migration flows. The theory on human capital predicts that job changes between …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011454335
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012198640