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The calculus of dissent : bias and diversity in FOMC projections
Hogan, Thomas L. - In: Public choice 191 (2022) 1/2, pp. 105-135
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013273240
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The contingent wisdom of dyads : when discussion enhances vs. undermines the accuracy of collaborative judgments
Minson, Julia A.; Mueller, Jennifer S.; Larrick, Richard P. - In: Management science : journal of the Institute for … 64 (2018) 9, pp. 4177-4192
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011921508
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Making Predictions : The Group Decision Forecasting (GDF) Problem
Kimbrough, Steven O. - 2014
This paper describes the group decision forecasting (or prediction) problem and explores a particular case of it. The … supporting deliberation in such contexts as group decision forecasting, in which both data and modeling techniques are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013046014
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FOMC forecasts and monetary policy deliberations
Ellis, Michael A.; Liu, Dandan - In: Economics letters 147 (2016), pp. 131-134
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011619562
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Testing weighting approaches for forecasting in a Group Wisdom Support System environment
Gracht, Heiko von der; Hommel, Ulrich; Prokesch, Tobias; … - In: Journal of business research : JBR 69 (2016) 10, pp. 4081-4094
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011553913
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Dispersed communication by central bank committees and the predictability of monetary policy decisions
Ehrmann, Michael; Fratzscher, Marcel - In: Public choice 157 (2013) 1/2, pp. 223-244
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010192409
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Optimal binary prediction for group decision making
Lieli, Robert P.; Nieto-Barthaburu, Augusto - In: Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a … 28 (2010) 2, pp. 308-319
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008736218
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Economic forecasting : experimental evidence on individual biases, group cooperation and herd behavior
Meub, Lukas - 2014
Economic Forecasting. Experimental Evidence on Individual Biases, Group Cooperation and Herd Behavior... …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010463079
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Gamification to avoid cognitive biases : an experiment of gamifying a forecasting course
Legaki, Nikoletta-Zampeta; Karpouzis, Kostas; … - In: Technological forecasting & social change : an … 167 (2021), pp. 1-19
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012798921
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Forecasting Swiss exports using Bayesian forecast reconciliation
Eckert, Florian; Hyndman, Rob J.; Panagiotelis, Anastasios - In: European journal of operational research : EJOR 291 (2021) 2, pp. 693-710
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012495358