Twitter. Simulation results show that our network-embedded prediction market can produce better predictions as a result of the … forecasting errors decrease with the cost of acquiring information in a network-embedded prediction market …

and information exchange promote the forecast efficiency in prediction markets? Our study shows that a social network is … not a panacea in terms of improving forecast efficiency. The use of social networks could be detrimental to forecast … and increasing in the network density. The aforementioned results are robust to two commonly used mechanisms of prediction …

This paper contributes to model the industry interconnecting structure in a network context. General predictive model … interdependency networks. Empirical results show a denser network with heterogeneous central industries in tail cases. Network … out-of-sample forecast of portfolio returns and network centrality-based trading strategies seem to outperform market …