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New DIW Berlin model can nowcast the current income distribution : inequality likely to slightly increase in 2023
Bönke, Timm; Dany-Knedlik, Geraldine; Pagenhardt, Laura - In: DIW weekly report : economy, politics, science : a … 13 (2023) 43/44, pp. 283-289
DIW Berlin comes in: A new forecast model is making it possible to make statements about the current state of inequality … gained: Following declining inequality up until 2021, primarily between 2010 and 2020, the new DIW Berlin model forecasts an … interruption in the trend in 2022 and 2023. Overall, labor income inequality is predicted to have increased slightly over the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014431177
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German economy currently scarcely making headway
Bönke, Timm; Dany-Knedlik, Geraldine; Baldi, Guido; … - In: DIW weekly report : economy, politics, science : a … 13 (2023) 36/37, pp. 245-253
Following the winter recession and stagnation in the second quarter of 2023, the economic upswing is proceeding at a sluggish pace, contrary to expectations over the summer. Weak foreign demand and ongoing inflation have proven to be slowing economic growth. For the time being, private...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014362798
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DIW Berlin economic forecast : forecast ranges from cloudy to bright
Bönke, Timm; Dany-Knedlik, Geraldine; Baldi, Guido; … - In: DIW weekly report : economy, politics, science : a … 13 (2023) 50/52, pp. 305-313
The recovery of the German economy is becoming an exercise in patience. In the third quarter of 2023 the economy fared worse than expected, in particular because private households continued to spend their money conservatively despite climbing wages and falling inflation. Both private...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014466268
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Forecasting changes in income distribution : an applied general equilibrium approach
Meagher, G. A. - 1993
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000885106
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The forecasting of consumer income distribution
Mogridge, Martin John Henry - 1972
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000617392
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Forecasting the price level, income distribution, and economic growth
Weintraub, Sidney - 1959
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000594582
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A simple method for predicting distributions by means of covariates with examples from poverty and health economics
Dai, Jing; Sperlich, Stefan; Zucchini, Walter - In: Swiss journal of economics and statistics 152 (2016) 1, pp. 49-80
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011506445
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Skill Scores and modified Lorenz domination in default forecasts
Krämer, Walter; Neumärker, Simon - In: Economics letters 181 (2019), pp. 61-64
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012121880
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Which model for poverty predictions?
Verme, Paolo - 2020
OLS models are the predominant choice for poverty predictions in a variety of contexts such as proxy-means tests, poverty mapping or cross-survey imputations. This paper compares the performance of econometric and machine learning models in predicting poverty using alternative objective...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012159707
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Estimating and predicting household expenditures and income distributions
Dai, Jing; Sperlich, Stefan; Zucchini, Walter - 2011
analysis, and in particular for inequality, poverty or development studies. Where observations of expenditures or income are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009380657