Showing 1 - 10 of 6,467
This study investigates the predictive power of self-control for individuals and their children using population representative data. We use the well-established Brief Self-Control Scale to demonstrate that people's trait self-control is highly predictive of their life outcomes. Higher...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012792212
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013384366
Who makes it to the top? We use the leading, socio-economic survey in Germany supplemented by extensive data on the rich to answer this question. We identify the key predictors for belonging to the top 1 percent of income, wealth, and both distributions jointly. Although we consider many, only a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014468907
Was the increase in income inequality in the US due to permanent shocks or merely to an increase in the variance of transitory shocks? The implications for consumption and welfare depend crucially on the answer to this question. We use CEX repeated cross-section data on consumption and income to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012733915
Economists typically make simplifying assumptions to make the solution and estimation of their highly complex models … predictions of the model. We leverage the recent advancements in machine learning to develop a solution and estimation method … method is much more efficient than existing global solution methods and that the estimation converges to the true parameter …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013257224
Meijer, Rohwedder, and Wansbeek (MRW, Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 2012) develop methods for prediction of a single earnings figure per worker from mixture factor models fitted using earnings data from multiple linked data sources. MRW apply their method using parameter estimates...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012485862
Time-varying parameter (TVP) models have the potential to be over-parameterized, particularly when the number of variables in the model is large. Global-local priors are increasingly used to induce shrinkage in such models. But the estimates produced by these priors can still have appreciable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012031047
Time-varying parameter (TVP) models have the potential to be over-parameterized, particularly when the number of variables in the model is large. Global-local priors are increasingly used to induce shrinkage in such models. But the estimates produced by these priors can still have appreciable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012117683
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012608826
shifting the pattern of behaviour. We show a change in the correlation between each of the three variables with stock returns …. Notably, a predominantly negative correlation with bond yields and inflation becomes positive, while the opposite is true for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012813273