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Shorter prediction intervals for anonymous individual assessments in group decision-making via pairwise comparisons
Bose, Mausumi; Mukerjee, Rahul - In: Top : an official journal of the Spanish Society of … 29 (2021) 3, pp. 833-857
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012621319
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A multicriteria forecast of the default probability in credit risk assessment
Couto, Ayrton Benedito Gaia do; Gomes, Luiz Flávio … - In: International journal of business and systems research … 14 (2020) 3, pp. 281-297
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012250634
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Optimal binary prediction for group decision making
Lieli, Robert P.; Nieto-Barthaburu, Augusto - In: Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a … 28 (2010) 2, pp. 308-319
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008736218
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Probabilistic causality
Mitroff, Ian I.; Silvers, Abraham - In: Technological forecasting & social change : an … 80 (2013) 8, pp. 1629-1634
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010206849
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Scenario Logic and Probabilistic Management of Risk in Business and Engineering
Solojentsev, E. D. - 2005
problems of estimation, analysis and management of risk are considered. Software for risk problems based on LP-methods, LP-theory …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014274785
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Scenario logic and probabilistic management of risk in business and engineering
Solojentsev, Evgueni Dmitrievich - 2009 - 2. ed.
This book proposes a uniform logic and probabilistic (LP) approach to risk estimation and analysis in engineering and economics. It covers the methodological and theoretical basis of risk management at the design, test, and operation stages of economic, banking, and engineering systems with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014275012
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Scenario Logic and Probabilistic Management of Risk in Business and Engineering
Solojentsev, Evgueni D. - 2009
Structural and Logical Modeling -- Logical And Probabilistic Theory Of Risk With Groups Of Incompatible Events -- Identification … Theory Of Non Success Risk -- Training Course Modeling Estimation and Analysis of Risks in Economics. … principles of the modern risk LP theory (the LP-calculus, the LP-methods and the risk LP-theory with GIE) using uniform …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013522908
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Regularized aggregation of one-off probability predictions
Satopää, Ville A. - In: Operations research 70 (2022) 6, pp. 3558-3580
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014307937
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Uncertainty Measures from Partially Rounded Probabilistic Forecast Surveys
Glas, Alexander - 2020
Although survey-based point predictions have been found to outperform successful forecasting models, corresponding variance forecasts are frequently diagnosed as heavily distorted. Forecasters who report inconspicuously low ex-ante variances often produce squared forecast errors that are much...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012843568
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Uncertainty Measures from Partially Rounded Probabilistic Forecast Surveys
Glas, Alexander - 2020
Although survey-based point predictions have been found to outperform successful forecasting models, corresponding variance forecasts are frequently diagnosed as heavily distorted. Forecasters who report inconspicuously low ex-ante variances often produce squared forecast errors that are much...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012843598