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In this paper a new method of constructing the leading economic index is presented. Its main advantage is the ability to distinguish domestic and foreign factors influencing the growth of economy and it is performed via dynamic hierarchical factor modelling. An application is carried out with...
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remittances yield significant coefficients for at least some of the accounts aggregates, they do not contribute to improved … forecasting accuracy. -- remittances ; time series ; prediction ; cointegration net exports …
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