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With the record high leverage across all segments of the (global) economy, default prediction has never been more … defaulters, we model default probability using a doubly stochastic Poisson process. Our paper is unique in that it uses a large … 76%, one and three years prior to default, respectively. What we lose in (data) quality, we regain in (data) quantity …
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Roll rates and net flow rates can be seen as the evolution of ageing of accounts receivable and Markov chains. They are accepted methodologies to model the behavior of non-performing consumer loans by buckets and to predict losses, but we find that quite often they are wrongly used as...
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From year to year, strong attention has been paid to the study of the problems of predicting firms' bankruptcy. Bankruptcy prediction is an essential issue in finance especially in emerging economics. Business information systems like Financial Information Systems (FIS) converts and store the...
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Credit risk is a critical issue that affects banks and companies on a global scale. Possessing the ability to accurately predict the level of credit risk has the potential to help the lender and borrower. This is achieved by alleviating the number of loans provided to borrowers with poor...
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We analyse the impact of soft information on US mortgages for default prediction and provide a new measure for lender … and soft information provide for a variation in annual default probabilities of approximately 3%. Soft information has a …
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