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Evolution of forecast disagreement in a Bayesian learning model

Lahiri, Kajal; Sheng, Xuguang - In: Journal of econometrics 144 (2008) 2, pp. 325-340

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003774622

Statistical problem classes and their links to information theory

Clarke, Bertrand; Clarke, Jennifer; Yu, Chi Wai - In: Econometric reviews 33 (2014) 1/4, pp. 337-371

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010360499

Updating awareness and information aggregation

Galanis, Spyros; Kotronis, Stelios - In: The B.E. journal of theoretical economics 21 (2021) 2, pp. 613-635

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012593905

On the role of fundamentals, private signals, and beauty contests to predict exchange rates

Pignataro, Giuseppe; Raggi, Davide; Pancotto, Francesca - In: International journal of forecasting 40 (2024) 2, pp. 687-705

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014547196

An expert opinion elicitation method based on binary search and Bayesian intervals

Firmino, Paulo Renato A.; Droguett, Enrique López - In: International journal of risk assessment and management … 18 (2015) 3/4, pp. 336-362

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011535991

Une comparaison des prévisions des experts à celles issues des modèles BVAR

Lardic, Sandrine; Mpacko Priso, Auguste - In: Economie & prévision : EP (1999) 4/5, pp. 161-180

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001491011

Prediction of financial data with Hidden Markov Mixtures of Experts

Liehr, Stefan; Pawelzik, Klaus; Kohlmorgen, Jens; Lemm, … - In: International journal of theoretical and applied finance 3 (2000) 3, pp. 593

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001524504

Aggregation of experts opinions and the assessment of tipping points : catastrophic forecasts for higher temperature changes

Basili, Marcello; Crudu, Federico - 2021

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013166311

An investigation of dependence in expert judgement studies with multiple experts

Wilson, Kevin J. - In: International journal of forecasting 33 (2017) 1, pp. 325-336

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011755018

Timing of Predictions in Dynamic Cheap Talk : Experts vs. Quacks

Smirnov, Aleksei - 2019

The paper studies a dynamic communication game in the presence of adverse selection and career concerns. A forecaster of privately known competence, who cares about his reputation, chooses the timing of the forecast regarding the outcome of some future event. We find that in all equilibria in a...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012859563

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