Showing 1 - 10 of 14,032
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012822273
Cross institutional forecast evaluations may be severely distorted by the fact that forecasts are made at different points in time, and thus with different amount of information. This paper proposes a method to account for these differences. The method computes the timing effect and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011535966
This paper constructs individual-specific density forecasts for a panel of firms or households using a dynamic linear … model with common and heterogeneous coefficients and cross-sectional heteroskedasticity. The panel considered in this paper …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011932215
In a large sample of countries across different geographic regions and over a long period of time, we find limited country- and variable-specific effects of central bank transparency on forecast accuracy and their dispersion among a large set of professional forecasts of financial and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011790688
We investigate the accuracy of ex ante assessments of vulnerability to poverty using cross-sectional data and panel … data. We use long-term panel data from Germany and apply different regression models, based on household covariates and … on cross-sectional data are much less accurate than those based on panel data, but for Germany, the accuracy of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009671469
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010199463
This paper promotes the use of panel data in nowcasting. We shift the existing focus of the literature, which has … propose a mixed-frequency panel VAR model and a bias-corrected least squares (BCLS) estimator which attenuates the bias … inherent to fixed effects dynamic panel settings. We demonstrate how existing panel model selection and combination methods can …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012864837
This paper constructs individual-specific density forecasts for a panel of firms or households using a dynamic linear … model with common and heterogeneous coefficients and cross-sectional heteroskedasticity. The panel considered in this paper …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012840510
We use a dynamic panel Tobit model with heteroskedasticity to generate point, set, and density forecasts for a large … and residential real estate loans, comparing various versions of the panel Tobit model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012846192
This paper constructs individual-specific density forecasts for a panel of firms or households using a dynamic linear … model with common and heterogeneous coefficients and cross-sectional heteroskedasticity. The panel considered in this paper …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012956589