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Johansen Cointegration and Granger Causality analysis were used to test the long-run and short-run relationship among the six …
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A simple manipulation of the cointegrated framework proposed by Lettau and Ludvigson (2001, 2004) allows to demonstrate that temporary fluctuations of the U.S. consumption-wealth ratio predict excess returns on international stock markets. This finding is the reflection of an important common,...
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This paper is a response to the literature that tests for cointegration between national stock market indices. It … argues that apparent findings of cointegration in other studies may often be due to the use of asymptotic, rather than small …-sample, critical values. In fact, economic theory suggests that cointegration is unlikely to be observed in efficient markets. However …
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